BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Florida St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 13 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (5-3) Overall: (10-3) Overall Strength =  156.89

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/05/2016 Neutral W   156.69  45  34   1A  41 (  5-  7) Mississippi            -1.18     12.18                      
  2 09/10/2016 Home    W   169.62  52   8   1B   9 (  7-  4) Charleston Southern    11.75 *   32.25                      
  3 09/17/2016 Away    L * 117.85  20  63   1A   8 (  9-  4) Louisville            -40.02     -2.98                      
  4 09/24/2016 Away    W   168.51  55  35   1A  34 ( 11-  2) South Florida          10.64      9.36                      
  5 10/01/2016 Home    L * 147.27  35  37   1A  22 (  8-  5) North Carolina        -10.60      8.60                      
  6 10/08/2016 Away    W * 158.12  20  19   1A  14 (  9-  4) Miami FL                0.25      0.75                      
  7 10/15/2016 Home    W * 148.07  17   6   1A  68 (  7-  6) Wake Forest            -9.80     20.80                      
  8 10/29/2016 Home    L * 161.82  34  37   1A   5 ( 13-  1) Clemson                 3.95     -6.95                      
  9 11/05/2016 Away    W * 152.35  24  20   1A  36 (  7-  6) North Carolina St      -5.52      9.52                      
 10 11/11/2016 Home    W * 169.75  45   7   1A  78 (  7-  6) Boston College         11.87     26.13                      
 11 11/19/2016 Away    W * 164.45  45  14   1A  80 (  4-  8) Syracuse                6.58     24.42                      
 12 11/26/2016 Home    W   166.93  31  13   1A  25 (  9-  4) Florida                 9.06      8.94                      
 13 12/30/2016 Neutral W   170.90  33  32   1A   4 ( 10-  3) Michigan               13.03    -12.03                      
      Averages             157.87  35.1 25.0

Best game:  170.90 = 1 point win over Michigan
Worst game: 117.85 = 43 point loss to Louisville
Team stdev:  14.56